| As two of America's biggest companies, Citigroup
and Merrill Lynch, scramble to find a leader and hundreds of thousands
of employees wonder who their next boss will be, management gurus
are quietly asking another question: Are these companies simply
too big or too complex for any one person to run?
The abrupt resignations of E. Stanley O'Neal at Merrill Lynch
and Charles O. Prince III at Citi in recent weeks, following more
than $15 billion in combined losses at their companies, has done
more than expose how unprepared Wall Street was for a market meltdown;
it has also revealed just how difficult it has become to manage
these behemoths.
"Across the board, people are wondering if their companies
are too big and unwieldy and unfocused," says Jeffrey A.
Sonnenfeld, senior associate dean for executive programs at the
School of Management at Yale. On Wall Street, he adds, size creates
special dangers. "Staying on top of risk in such a sprawling
business is hard."
Roy Smith, a former partner at Goldman Sachs and now a professor
of finance at New York University, points to the very different
experiences of Citigroup and his former employer during the recent
subprime crisis.
Goldman's losses, he notes, were a fraction of those of Citigroup,
even though both companies were active in the same businesses.
"Maybe it's because Goldman has 30,000 employees while Citi
has 10 times that many," he says. "Therefore, they are
able to be more focused on the more limited number of things they
do."
It's not only financial companies that are facing questions. One
day after Prince quit, Richard D. Parsons, the chief executive
of another company that was the product of mega-mergers, Time
Warner, announced that he, too, would retire at the end of the
year.
Time Warner's stock price is the same as it was five years ago
when Parsons succeeded Gerald M. Levin, who presided over the
mega-deal with AOL that's widely considered to be among the biggest
-- and most disastrous -- mergers ever. Parsons will remain chairman,
however.
Throughout his tenure, Parsons has struggled to offer a convincing
rationale for businesses as diverse as publishing, cable television
and film production to be part of the same company. And Citigroup
operates in more than 100 countries, employs roughly 370,000 workers
and offers services ranging from credit cards (120 million accounts
in the United States alone) to banking, mortgages and asset management.
"The concept of Citigroup and Time Warner as unified companies
is questionable," says William W. George, the former chief
executive of Medtronic, a medical device maker, who teaches at
Harvard Business School. "Maybe what was put together is
simply too broad."
Of course, just as fashion styles come and go, so has the favored
model for the American corporation. In the 1960s and 1970s, conglomerates
like ITT and Gulf+Western were all the rage. But in the 1980s,
investors began to complain about poor performance and an obvious
lack of synergy (Gulf+Western owned everything from sugar plantations
to movie studios), and the conglomerates were broken up.
By the late 1990s and the early part of this decade, it seemed
like the conglomerate was making a reappearance. Now in the wake
of the departure of Parsons, Prince and O'Neal, the question of
whether size matters in corporate America is up for debate again.
"We're at an inflection point," says Sonnenfeld. "If
the economy weakens, it might be more likely these giants will
be broken up."
It is unclear whether the model of a super-size company will be
shelved, but executives will certainly want to re-examine one
of primary rationales behind it -- diversification. The theory,
at least, was that losses in one area would be offset by gains
in another. That safety net clearly didn't work for Citigroup.
Whatever happens, it's clear that investors are losing their patience
with chief executives who can't deliver. A study of 2,500 top
global companies by Booz Allen Hamilton, the consulting firm,
found that annual turnover among chief executives increased by
59 percent between 1995 and 2006. Over the same period, according
to the survey, involuntary exits from the top ranks soared. One
in eight departures was involuntary in 1995; by 2006, the ratio
was nearly one in three.
One explanation for that trend, says Steven Wheeler, a senior
vice president at Booz Allen, is not necessarily size but complexity.
"The ability to run and make changes in one division doesn't
translate into the ability to do that in another, and as CEO you're
responsible for the whole business," he says.
Other experts insist the problem isn't size or complexity, but
the skill of the individual chief executive and his or her top
team. And that's what was lacking at Merrill and Citigroup, according
to Noel M. Tichy, a leading management authority at the University
of Michigan and co-author of the new book "Judgment: How
Winning Leaders Make Great Calls."
Big companies, he says, are especially vulnerable if they don't
take the time to train and develop future chief executives. "What
you're seeing is broken leadership pipelines," he says. "Merrill
and Citi never invested in their pipelines."
As for complexity, Tichy argues that General Electric has prospered
despite having a stable of businesses as varied as jet engines,
commercial finance and light bulbs. In part, he says, that's because
Jeffrey Immelt, the chief executive, spends 25 days each year
on succession planning and cultivating future GE leaders.
"GE is far more complex than either Merrill or Citigroup,"
he says. "Don't tell me the problem is that they're too big
or too complex. The key variable is talent."
Source: NYTS
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