| The number of newly laid off workers filing
claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, but the larger-than-expected
drop was seen as only a temporary improvement.
The Labor Department reported Thursday that the number of jobless
claims dropped by 9,000 last week to a total of 349,000.
While that was bigger than the decline that had been expected,
analysts noted that claims offices in California, the largest
state, were closed for one day last week for a state holiday,
giving laid off workers one less day to file claims.
The four-week average for claims, which gives a better picture
of labor market trends, rose to 360,500, which was the highest
level since claims spiked in October 2005 in the aftermath of
Hurricane Katrina.
Analysts said the rise in the four-week average was depicting
a labor market that is coming under increasing strains because
of the slowing economy.
The Federal Reserve released a revised economic forecast on Wednesday
that slashed growth prospects for this year but still maintained
that the country could avoid a recession.
However, many private economist believe the country has already
entered a downturn that began this quarter and will last through
the spring. They are forecasting that the overall economy, which
skidded to growth at a barely discernible annual rate of 0.6 percent
in the final three months of last year, will turn negative in
the first and second quarter this year. The classic definition
of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative economic
growth.
President Bush last week signed a $168 billion economic stimulus
bill which is designed to provide rebate checks of $600 for individual
and $1,200 for couples with the checks scheduled to begin arriving
in mailboxes this spring as a way to give the economy a boost.
But even with the rebate checks, which Bush called a ''booster
shot'' for the economy, analysts are forecasting a period of slower
growth, reflecting the blows that have been dealt by a prolonged
downturn in housing and a severe credit squeeze, which has made
it harder for consumers and businesses to get loans.
The economy shed 17,000 jobs in January, the first monthly job
loss in more than four years. Analysts believe that the unemployment
rate, which currently stands at 4.9 percent, will rise to 6 percent
before the current slowdown has run its course.
The performance of jobless claims for the week ending Feb. 9
was revised to show 10,000 more benefit applications during that
week than previously reported, reflecting a sharp revision from
data supplied by California.
For that week, 37 states and territories had increases in claims
while 16 had declines.
California had the largest increase, a jump of 7,857 that was
attributed to higher layoffs in trade, service and manufacturing
industries. The biggest decline in claims occurred in Ohio, which
saw a drop of 2,752.
Source: Associated Press
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