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Barack Obama's hopes of emerging as the first black Democratic
presidential nominee could now depend on top party officials intervening
to stop the fight with Hillary Clinton in the name of unity.
The focus of the Democratic race has shifted to Indiana and North
Carolina where Mr Obama is favoured to win in primaries early
next month. But victory in these states will still leave him short
of winning the nomination and allow the damaging battle with Mrs
Clinton to continue through the summer. Defeat could be fatal
for his chances.
One idea being floated is for a so-called Gang of Four - the
former presidential hopeful John Edwards; the former vice-president
Al Gore; the Democratic Party leader, Howard Dean; and the House
Speaker, Nancy Pelosi - to intervene after the primaries on 6
May. They would then call on the superdelegates to make a commitment
within 10 days so that the party can have a nominee before the
August convention in Denver.
At that stage, the Obama campaign hopes to have won 2,025 delegates,
enough to secure the nomination. Mrs Clinton could still thwart
him if she persuades enough superdelegates to back her on the
grounds that she is a tougher, more effective candidate who would
carry more states in the presidential race.
If Mr Obama cannot break through the submerged racial prejudice
of older white voters, the argument of many Democrats goes, he
cannot win the White House. Time magazine's commentator Joe Klein
said poorly educated white voters had grave doubts "about
a young, inexperienced African-American guy with an Islamic-sounding
name and a highfalutin fluency with language".
Despite her solid victory in Pennsylvania on Tuesday, Mrs Clinton
faces an uphill struggle in Indiana where Mr Obama has a slight
edge in the polls. One advantage that Mr Obama has going into
the race is that Indiana's population is concentrated in smaller
cities such as Gary, where he has a high profile. He is also expected
to take North Carolina, a southern state with a large black population.
However, Mrs Clinton is now waging a battle to persuade the remaining
uncommitted superdelegates that his consistent failure to defeat
her in big states such as Pennsylvania, New York and California
makes him a weaker candidate for the presidential election in
November.
Mrs Clinton raised enough doubts about Mr Obama in Pennsylvania
to persuade white working-class voters to hand her a comfortable
nine percentage points victory. A big part of Mr Obama's problem
is race. The exit polls in Pennsylvania revealed that 20 per cent
of voters think race is important and heavily backed Mrs Clinton.
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