| Employers buffeted by talk of recession slashed
80,000 jobs in March, the most in five years and the third straight
month of losses.
At the same time, the national unemployment rate rose from 4.8
percent to 5.1 percent, the clearest signal yet that the economy
might already be shrinking.
The new snapshot of the job market, released by the Labor Department
Friday, underscored the damage that a trio of crises _in the housing,
credit and financial sectors _ has inflicted on companies, jobseekers
and the economy as a whole.
''The labor market has indeed turned south,'' said Joel Naroff,
president of Naroff Economic Advisors. ''That was the one last
bastion of hope to stay out of a recession. Now the question is
how deep and how long will it last?''
The unemployment rate was the highest since September 2005, when
significant job losses followed the devastating blows of Gulf
Coast hurricanes.
Job losses were widespread in March. Construction, manufacturing,
retailing, financial services and various business services all
racked up losses. That overwhelmed gains elsewhere, including
in education and health care, leisure and hospitality as well
as in government.
On Wall Street, stocks fell, with the Dow Jones industrials
down more than 30 points in morning trading.
The new employment figures were much weaker than economists
were expecting. They were anticipating a drop of 50,000 payroll
jobs and the unemployment rate to rise to 5 percent.
The 5.1 percent rate, while relatively modest by historical
standards, was the highest in 2½ years.
Job cuts in both January and February turned out to be even
deeper. Employers got rid of 76,000 in each month. The elimination
of 80,000 jobs in March was the most since March 2003, when the
labor market was still struggling to recover from the 2001 recession.
''We don't like to see one job lost, let alone 80,000,'' Commerce
Secretary Carlos Gutierrez said in an interview with The Associated
Press. ''These are challenging times,'' he said. Gutierrez was
hopeful that economy would turn around in the second half of this
year given relief efforts by the government and the Federal Reserve.
''We'll get through this.''
The economy is suffering the effects of a housing collapse,
a credit crunch and a financial system in turmoil. That's causing
people and businesses to hunker down, crimping spending, capital
investment and hiring. Those things in turn further weaken the
economy in what has become a vicious cycle.
For the first time, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke acknowledged
Wednesday that the country could be heading toward a recession,
saying federal policymakers are ''fighting against the wind''
in combating it. Many other economists and the public believe
the recession already has arrived.
Bernanke wouldn't tip his hand about the Fed's next move. However,
many economists believe the central bank will lower interest rates
again when they meet later this month, and they said Friday's
employment report would justify another reduction perhaps by half
a point.
The Fed has taken a number of extraordinary actions recently
_ slashing interest rates, providing financial backing to JP Morgan's
takeover of troubled Bear Stearns and opening an emergency lending
program for big investment houses. All the actions are ultimately
aimed at limiting damage to the national economy.
With a public on edge, Congress, the White House and presidential
contenders are scrambling to come up with their own relief plans
even as they engage in a political blame game.
In March, construction companies cut 51,000 jobs, factories
eliminated 48,000 positions, retailers cut payrolls by more than
12,000. Professional and businesses services lost 35,000 jobs
and temporary help firms cut nearly 22,000 jobs. Financial firms
chopped 5,000 jobs.
When government hiring was removed, the numbers looked even
worse. Private employers shed 98,000 jobs in March.
With the pace of hiring slowing down, the number of unemployed
people increased to 7.8 million in March; workers with jobs saw
only modest wage gains at the same time.
Average hourly earnings for jobholders rose to $17.86 in March,
a 0.3 percent increase from the previous month. That matched economists'
forecasts. Over the past 12 months, wages grew 3.6 percent. With
lofty energy and food prices, workers may feel like their paychecks
are shrinking.
Many analysts believe the economy shrank in the first three
months of this year and could still be ebbing now. The government
will release its estimate of first-quarter economic growth later
this month. Under one rough rule, if the economy contracts for
six straight months it is considered in a recession.
Bernanke and the Bush administration, however, are hopeful the
economy will improve in the second half of this year, helped by
the government's $168 billion stimulus package of tax rebates
for people and tax breaks for businesses, as well as the Fed's
rate reductions.
Still, even Bernanke predicted this week that the unemployment
rate would rise in the months ahead. Some analysts say it could
climb to 5.5 percent or higher by year's end.
Source: Associated Press
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